[dj3l4l]

The problem stated in the article is that the unitless quantity of 1 Bel is effectively applied only to power ratios. It is of course true that one can transfer a scaling of powers into the base of the logarithm when we are trying to figure out what effective scaling of voltages corresponds to 1 Bel of power scaling, but it is ultimately more meaningful to state that a Bel is "only a scaling of power", which is a statement about the units of the two variables in the logarithm (but ultimately, once we know the denominator that belongs to the definition, the numerator is also known, so we only need to know the reference denominator).

In Bayesian probability theory, there is a quantity known as the "evidence". It is defined as e(D|H) = 10 * log_10 (O(D|H)), where O(D|H) is the odds of some data, D, given the hypothesis, H.

The odds are the ratio of the probability of the data given that the hypothesis H is true, over the probability of the data given that the hypothesis is false, or: O(D|H) = P(D|H)/P(D|NOT(H)).

Taking the logarithm of the odds allows us to add up terms instead of multiplying the probability ratios when we are dividing D into subsets; so we can construct systems that reason through additive increases or decreases in evidence, as new data "arrives" in some sequence.

The advantage of representing the evidence in dB is that we often deal with changes to odds that are difficult to represent in decimal, such as the difference between 1000:1 (probability of 0.999, or an evidence of 30dB) and 10000:1 (probability of 0.9999, or evidence of 40dB).

This use of evidence has been around at least since the 60s. For example, you can find it in Chapter 4 of "Probability Theory - The Logic of Science" by E.T. Jaynes.

[paipa]

The puzzling thing is why they chose to adopt a term used to describe "only a scaling of power" to talk about log10 values. If 1 Bel simply meant 10x, I'd get it, but Bel has baggage and also means sqrt(10)x.

Is odds a power-like or amplitude-like quantity? If you can't tell, dB isn't the most fortunate choice. It's not like mathematicians need fake units to talk about unitless ratios and their logarithms.

[dj3l4l]

The useage of dB in the case of probability is exactly as the 1 Bel -> 10x meaning, but that is the technical meaning, without further context of the unit in the logarithm. There is no need to conceptualise this further as involving power or amplitude (which does not apply in probability).

I think that the unit having been popularised in the telecommunications industry just meant that every other instance of a log_10 ratio in physics lead to a realisation that it was a Bel. For Bayesian odds, this was probably because even the development of Bayesian probability was largely advanced by physicists (E.T. Jaynes being a famous example), who also were trained, and often worked, in signal processing of some kind or another. But I doubt they would have thought about this "power-ratios-only" adherence that is more the conception of telecommunications engineers, as opposed to physicists.