[lucisferre]

Much of the discussion of AI flirts with science fiction more than fact.

Let's start with the fact that AGI is not a well defined or agreed upon term of reference.

[empath75]

100% agreed. I think, in fact, that "intelligence" itself is a near-meaningless term, let alone AGI.

The evidence for this is that nobody can agree on what actually requires intelligence, other than there is seemingly broad belief among people that if a computer can do it, then it doesn't.

If you can't point at some activity and say: "There, this absolutely requires intelligence, let there be zero doubt that this entity possesses it", then it's not measurable and probably doesn't exist.