[f38zf5vdt]

I think the author is right about AI only accelerating to the next frontier when AI takes over AI research. If the timelines are correct and that happens in the next few years, the widely desired job of AI researcher may not even exist by then -- it'll all be a machine-based research feedback loop where humans only hinder the process.

Every other intellectual job will presumably be gone by then too. Maybe AI will be the second great equalizer, after death.

[goatlover]

Except we have no evidence of AI being able to take over AI research anymore than we have evidence so far that automation this time will significantly reduce human labor. It's all speculation based on extrapolating what some researchers think will happen as models scale up, or what funders hope will happen as they pour more billions into the hype machine.

[dinfinity]

It's also extrapolating on what already exists. We are way beyond 'just some academic theories'.

One can argue all day about timelines, but AI has progressed from being fully inexistent to a level rivaling and surpassing quite some humans in quite some things in less than 100 years. Arguably, all the evidence we have points to AI being able to take over AI research at some point in the near future.