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barbegal | 7 months ago

Only 1 of the four turbines has been able to operate for 6 years without pulling it out the water. The other 3 have needed costly maintenance https://www.waterpowermagazine.com/news/sae-secures-loan-for...

It's a nice idea but costly compared to solar even in places like Scotland.

discuss

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magicalhippo|7 months ago

This[1] article states the following:

To remind, the MeyGen project’s Phase 1A involved the installation of the AR1500 onto a gravity-based foundation, alongside three other AH1000 MK1 turbines, to form an array of 6MW.

From what I've found, the AR1500 has just had routine quarter-life maintenance[2], but I can't find anything concrete right now which of the four made the 6 year milestone. I do note that in the brochure[3] for the AR1500 they claim three service intervals every 6 1/4 years, rather than four service intervals as indicated by the article.

[1]: https://www.offshore-energy.biz/simec-atlantis-troubleshooti...

[2]: https://www.offshore-energy.biz/overhauled-meygen-turbines-t...

[3]: https://simecatlantis.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/AR1500-...

Havoc|7 months ago

That's useless for commercial operation, but for a trial run perhaps not terrible.

If 1/4 make it then you at least know it can be done and hopefully learned a couple key failure modes from it

terribleperson|7 months ago

If one made it six years, it seems like it should eventually be possible to build turbines that reliably make it that long.

dinfinity|7 months ago

GPs link doesn't even show what was claimed ("The other 3 have needed costly maintenance").

From that link:

"The first of these turbines is scheduled for redeployment in May 2022, with the final turbine to be deployed in March 2023, complete with a retrofitted wet mate connection system, which more than halves the costs of future turbine recoveries and deployments."

"The company’s AR150 turbine was re-deployed last month, after being out of the water for upgrade and maintenance work."

The single long-running turbine can be compared to the upgraded turbines to measure the effect of the upgrades, and it provides the headlines this thread is about. The upgrades themselves are also clearly valuable R&D work.

micromacrofoot|7 months ago

Yes, 1 success out of 4 test flights — good news, it's possible!

contravariant|7 months ago

That's like saying if I roll 4 dice and one of them lands on a six then it should be possible to make one that only rolls sixes.

badestrand|7 months ago

I would love to see a complete cost comparison with solar.

1.5 MW is nothing to scoff at, so if it costs a bit in maintenance that's okay. But overall costs would be great to know.

padjo|7 months ago

One benefit that’s difficult to quantify is that the power is extremely predictable compared to other renewables.

pyrale|7 months ago

1.5mw is likely a nameplate capacity for the turbine, not the actual output (which should be labeled in GWh per year).

The article likely double-dips on this by saying that 6MW could provide for 7k homes, which it obviously can’t at peak use.

theptip|7 months ago

Also there is theoretically power in the GW range to be harvested here (specifically, Scotland’s tidal flows), so it’s worth investing a substantial sum to figure this tech out.

walrus01|7 months ago

Over many years, I've yet to hear of an ocean based power generating system that comes anywhere near the $ per kWh cost produced by just covering some less-useful land in ground mount photovoltaics.

Private, entirely for profit companies, have recently answered large government tenders in the middle east to sell power at the equivalent of $0.05 USD per kWh. They are fairly confident that they can make a profit doing this, even with the cost to incur the long term debt to privately build a massive solar power plant.

The cumulative amount of solar power being produced within Germany right now is a good example of its practical use in a less sunny climate.

In terms of placing things in the ocean, hiring the sort of offshore work vessel with a built-in crane can go and place or remove multi ton apparatus is very costly. Maritime construction for things like laying coastal submarine cable, building piers and docks and marinas, setting and maintaining marker buoys isn't cheap.

Laying and maintaining HV AC or DC submarine cables in salt water is also particularly known to be expensive. Hiring a 36'-42' aluminum landing craft for coastal construction projects, with fuel and crew can be easily $500 an hour.

Labor and vehicle costs are greatly increased compared to doing things on dry land.

542354234235|7 months ago

I used to think the same way, “just use cheaper solar” but I have come around to see the value. Doing science and engineering projects to explore new or different alternatives is valuable. We might find something surprising.

Having different types of power generation provides redundancy. The wind still blows at night, the tide still comes in and out when its cloudy, etc. Grid storage is nowhere near a solved problem, so something like tidal could prove less expensive than storage or overbuilding alternatives to overcome their variability problems. Even if it doesn’t end up being widely useful, it could still end up finding a use in more niche applications.

Finally, it can and will improve. 30 years ago, solar was not price competitive and decades of development and iterative improvements have changed that. We should keep developing alternatives to see their full potential.

gleenn|7 months ago

I think the charm for a cloudy place like Scotland is that a system like this is unaffected by poor light supply. Your photovoltaics aren't going to fair nearly so well there hence this solution.

Cthulhu_|7 months ago

> covering some less-useful land in ground mount photovoltaics.

Doesn't even need to be less-useful land (especially in western Europe, ground is becoming a scarce resource), put PV on flat rooves or add them over open car parks. Also helps alleviate pressure on the overstressed energy grid by generating and using power more locally.

But, local power is (overall) a lot more costly than major centralized power generation projects, like a wind farm or what have you.

insane_dreamer|7 months ago

> costly maintenance

all systems require maintenance, so "costly" is relative; would need more specifics to determine whether this is a cost effective solution or not

os2warpman|7 months ago

I'm not a turbine, or power generation, expert but I am almost 100% sure that no non-solar power generation method can operate without being taken down periodically for maintenance.

How do the maintenance costs (and intervals) of these compare to gas/steam turbines?

asdff|7 months ago

I assume corrosion is to blame? Crazy how much ocean facing stuff is still done with painted steel. You'd think aluminum and carbon fiber or even plastic would be making strides but it's still the iron age in many ways it seems.

saturnV|7 months ago

Carbon fibres themselves may be corrosion resistent, but the fibers by themselves are like a fabric. If you want a solid part instead of cloth, you need to encase the fibers in a resin. Imagine it like a piece of cloth soaked in beeswax or candle wax: it is solid like the resin but if you pull on it, it has the strength of the fibers of the cloth.

The resins used for carbon fibers are usually very bad at contact with water over long periods of time. Even those in aerospace applications require coating/paint if exposed moisture over time. It’s a plastic, even the best ones don’t do so well in water after a few months.

Furthermore, the damage that moisture does to the resin can be difficult to detect and even more difficult if not impossible to fix. It requires clean rooms, skilled labor and machinery that you don’t have in the middle of an ocean.

Then take iron corrosion: it is easy to spot by naked eye, it may not be easy to repair, but it is relatively simple to “halt” further damage by removing the rust and adding new paint.

Don’t get me wrong: carbon fibers are amazing, but sometimes the “boring” solution is best.

PS: steel alloys and coatings can be amazingly high tech too, it’s amazing what can be engineered.

zikzak|7 months ago

All industrial generators undergo regular shutdowns for maintenance and recalibration. This is costly and time consuming when they are on land.

Also, I am thinking about all the ocean factors beyond salt corrosion. There's tons of crap in the water beyond salt and minerals. Like fine grit suspended in it. Plus the tidal forces etc.

ReaperCub|7 months ago

Steel has the benefit of fatigue limit. Which means as long as the cyclic stress on steel is under a certain amount it won't fail. Aluminium has a much lower fatigue strength than steel and will always fail given enough cycles.

While rust can be a problem it can be mitigated. Also steel is easier to repair than many other materials (welding).

BTW. Aluminium does suffer from corrosion as well. I used to have racing bike, the wheel nipples (these connect the spokes to the wheel rim) used to corrode to the point where they would fail, which meant I would end up with a buckle. I ended up having both wheel rebuilt with higher quality brass nipples.

Plastics under time also suffers from a different set of issues. Plastics can become brittle. Anyone working on old computers (especially macs) can attest to this.

Someone|7 months ago

Corrosion, the force of water (being 800 times as dense as air and effectively incompressible, water forces can be huge), objects in the water (again, water being heavy it can move heavy objects around in its flow), fouling through, for example, algae and mussels (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fouling)

dzhiurgis|7 months ago

AFAIK corrosion is slower underwater. It’s all the shmutz that’s underwater - logs, rocks and boulders that get moved by these huge tidal currents.

spandrew|7 months ago

Carbon fibres tend to crack under extreme torque.

KolibriFly|7 months ago

Even that one proves it's possible, which is huge for an industry that's been stuck in pilot mode for years

Goronmon|7 months ago

Only 1 of the four turbines has been able to operate for 6 years without pulling it out the water. The other 3 have needed costly maintenance

As opposed to other forms of energy production which have free/zero maintenance?

dietr1ch|7 months ago

Well, they just need to use just the ones that don't require maintenance.

varispeed|7 months ago

Imagine if we gave up making cars because we had some failures initially. Everything is costly in the beginning.