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nrenegar | 7 months ago

It's extremely incorrect. 98% accuracy on when "you'll" die would imply an R^2 of 0.98 for individual-level lifespan predictions. We are nowhere close to that.

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neaden|7 months ago

It could mean a lot of things. It could mean "We think you'll die at 87+-5 years" and counting it as a success if you die anywhere in that age range for instance which I could believe they can predict the vast majority of the time. I doubt they are referring to the R Squared.