This is a lot of words to say “solar + battery lcoe is $70/MWH and gas is $40/MWH, but most places outside the U.S. don’t have access to tons of cheap gas so it’s more expensive there”
And no, they are wrong, gas is still currently cheaper ($40 is less than $70)
In other places outside US, cost of gas electricity is not 40/MWh. In Germany for example, the cost of natural gas power plants is 110 to 170 Euros/MWh.
For solar in Germany, it is 37 Euro/MWh to 80 Euros/MWh not including storage.
Yeah ok but without storage you are comparing apples to oranges. Even with storage it is barely comparable. Since even with batteries you can't provide power 24/7.
Combined cycle can be as low as $37 during low price periods of natural gas; combustion cycle is around or higher than the $70 in the podcast. Dedicated peaker plants can be much more expensive depending on the design.
> This is a lot of words to say “solar + battery lcoe is $70/MWH and gas is $40/MWH,
No, that isn't what the article says. I'll quote it for you:
I think it was around $70 for new gas. It was a weighted US average — from memory, but I might be wrong on that.
I suspect your $40/MWH isn't LCOE, it's the marginal cost of producing an extra MWH from an existing plant. A second problem they don't mention for gas is the demand is so high, the wait time for a new turbine is around 4 years. Batteries on the other hand can be bought with very short lead times.
triknomeister|7 months ago
For solar in Germany, it is 37 Euro/MWh to 80 Euros/MWh not including storage.
NalNezumi|7 months ago
According to [1] (figure 5, 6) its at the maximum, around 80€ MWh. Am I looking at the wrong stats?
[1] https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php...
rapsey|7 months ago
burkaman|7 months ago
zdragnar|7 months ago
rstuart4133|7 months ago
No, that isn't what the article says. I'll quote it for you:
I suspect your $40/MWH isn't LCOE, it's the marginal cost of producing an extra MWH from an existing plant. A second problem they don't mention for gas is the demand is so high, the wait time for a new turbine is around 4 years. Batteries on the other hand can be bought with very short lead times.bjourne|7 months ago
Marginal costs of $108 for gas peaking and $31 for combined cycle. $48-$107 actual LCOE ($77.5 average).