[dave_universetf]

Does the orange light specifically mean no RF link at all? Or does it include anything that prevents the modem from getting an IP address and route configuration? If the latter, BGP could still be at fault if it took out access to the control planes on the ground. But again all just guessing, from the outside all I see is the BGP routes are still being announced, and everyone seems to be seeing 100% packet loss and zero traffic.

[indigodaddy]

Right, good point that could be the case, those were just my assumptions and probably jumping to conclusions on my part speculating that orange means no signal (don't actually have any idea :) ). Imagine it could be any of what you said too.