[mandmandam]

As much as I despise insurance companies, risk assessment is their whole bag. And their money is on the line here.

If they say it's significantly worse than the IPCC is estimating - and specific reasons are given in the article - then I would tend to believe them.

[palata]

Sure, and I do believe it is significantly worse than the IPCC is "estimating". There are many reasons why the IPCC is very optimistic.

But the result is the same: the IPCC says that we are pretty much screwed, and climate scientists say that this is an optimistic view. How does that hurt the credibility of the IPCC? The IPCC is still saying what the scientists want: we have to change, and quick.

It could lose its credibility if it said "climate change is not that big of a deal", but that's not - and by a long shot - what the IPCC is saying.

[mandmandam]

I think I can answer this for you.

You ask ChatGPT if combining bleach and [chemical] is bad. It says there can be some dangerous irritation to the lungs, and not to do it.

You prompt it a couple times with new data that suggests the reaction could be worse, but its story doesn't really change.

So, you put on a respirator, mix the concoction - and it melts through 6 floors of your building while emitting neurotoxic gas.

ChatGPT told you it would be bad. It told you not to do it. But there's a huge difference between what it said would happen and what was actually foreseeable.