[knodi123]

* or governments fail to look far enough ahead, due to a bunch of small-minded short-sighted greedy petty fools.

Seriously, our government just announced it's slashing half a billion dollars in vaccine research because "vaccines are deadly and ineffective", and it fired a chief statistician because the president didn't like the numbers he calculated, and it ordered the destruction of two expensive satellites because they can observe politically inconvenient climate change. THOSE are the people you are trusting to keep an eye on the pace of development inside of private, secretive AGI companies?

[j_timberlake]

That's just it, governments won't "look ahead", they'll just panic when AGI is happening.

If you're wondering how they'll know it's happening, the USA has had DARPA monitoring stuff like this since before OpenAI existed.

[ezst]

> governments

While one in particular is speedracing into irrelevance, it isn't particularly representative of the rest of the developed world (and hasn't in a very long time, TBH).

[knodi123]

> the USA has had DARPA monitoring stuff like this since before OpenAI existed

Is there a source for this other than "trust me bro"? DARPA isn't a spy agency, it's a research organization.

> governments won't "look ahead", they'll just panic when AGI is happening

Assuming the companies tell them, or that there are shadowy deep-cover DARPA agents planted at the highest levels of their workforce.