[itsalotoffun]

I think we're still in the gray zone of the "Incessant Obsolescence Postulate" (the Wait Calculation). Are you better off "skilling up" on the tech as it is today, or waiting for it to just "get better" so by the time you kick off, you benefit from the solved-problems X years from now. I also think this calculation differs by domain, skill level, and your "soft skill" abilities to communicate, explain and teach. In some domains, if you're not already on this train, you won't even get hired anymore.

The current state of LLM-driven development is already several steps down the path of an end-game where the overwhelming majority of code is written by the machine; our entire HCI for "building" is going to be so far different to how we do it now that we'll look back at the "hand-rolling code era" in a similar way to how we view programming by punch-cards today. The failure modes, the "but it SUCKS for my domain", the "it's a slot machine" etc etc are not-even-wrong. They're intermediate states except where they're not.

The exceptions to this end-game will be legion and exist only to prove the end-game rule.