From the perspective of China, it probably makes sense to try and train on local chips and try to dethrone Nvidia. I guess this means PRC thinks AGI isnt around the corner and they can catch up on hardware.
It also seems reasonable for me to think AGI isn't around the corner given how much current AI technology has failed in all fronts to deliver anything both general and intelligent.
IMO it was exceptionally obvious AGI isn't around the corner because China is doing long-term AI strategy vs US market driven speculative all out sprint. When the country that produces plurality of global AI talent, including top %s do not have AFAIK any notable indications that they're hammering/evangelizing AGI like it's around the corner, it's probably not around the corner. There's also just very few Chinese AI researchers wanking about AGI timelines. There's enough AI talent there that if AGI was imminent they'd rally CCP to pursue whole of state effort, much larger than what't they're pursuing now, i.e. National Natural Science Foundation of China guideline for AI research for 2025 allocates like 15-20m USD for ~20 projects over the next 3-4 years. That's basically couch change.
gchamonlive|6 months ago
maxglute|6 months ago
mikae1|6 months ago
esafak|6 months ago