[paddw]

Anthropic should drop the deal and take the battle up the court system, they'll probably win

[AuthError]

they did, judge told authors to get better representation to prove harm. I think it's dicey cause if anthropic loses then it could be catastrophic (i.e. if judge jury thinks reward is 5x of what the proposal is would mean they would need to raise a new round)

[3np]

Anthropic having to raise a new round doesn't sound "catastrophic"...

[rvz]

> they'll probably win

They are settling because the risk of losing will cost their entire business.

Anthropic knows that they will lose if they were brought to trial.

[wrsh07]

Yeah settling seems good for investors imo. It's variance reduction.

[pier25]

It's an indisputable fact they downloaded like 7M books illegally.

[bhelkey]

From the article:

> Alsup gave the parties a Sept. 15 deadline to submit a final list of works, which currently stands around 465,000.

[kelnos]

They're likely taking the deal because they think there's a good chance they'll lose, and that the final judgement would be more -- possibly a lot more -- than this settlement.

But sure, I bet us randos on HN have a better feel for this than Anthropic's legal team.