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thatguy1874 | 5 months ago

but if they're google's products how would they cannabalize ads biz. would revenue not just shift? or do you believe ai search will be overly adopted but not as profitable?

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israrkhan|5 months ago

I think its the later. And also the fact that they are not the firstmover in AI search. More people know about chatgpt than they know about gemini

toast0|5 months ago

Google was late to search, late to smartphones, late to internet email. I'm having a hard time thinking of any of their large markets where they were a first mover, maybe YouTube-ish, widespread user uploaded internet video wasn't meaningfully available before the rise of YouTube.

On topic, Waymo is clearly a first mover in self-driving, having the first legal commercial services.

But, being the first mover is usually more of a disadvantage than an advantage, IMHO.