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SteveJS | 5 months ago

I zoomed out. It looks like this: "Usage has absolutely declined from peak switching periods where inevitibly some users won't stick around, but that's to be expected"

That just isn't a "sharp decline" no matter how much you seem to want to repeat those words.

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JimDabell|5 months ago

I agree that it’s not a sharp decline but zooming out, what I see is absolutely no organic growth at all in the past couple of years. All the increases have been sharp spikes that immediately fall off dramatically, followed by longer, slower periods of decline. It looks like nobody is switching to Bluesky except in a handful of viral events, during which a tonne of people try it out but don’t keep using it. There’s only one upward slope on these graphs, and that stopped in late 2023 – about the time Threads went fully global. These look like very unhealthy stats.

tptacek|5 months ago

Last year in November they had around 2.7MM likers. Today it's 1.2MM.

Last year in November they had around 1.3MM posters. Today, 0.65MM.

Followers: 3MM, to 0.4MM today.

SteveJS|5 months ago

Those are Jaz’s daily unique action counts (flows) from the Bluesky firehose; they’re anchored to the Nov ’24 spike, so the ‘decline’ is post-surge reversion. Meanwhile the user stock kept rising (~39M).

A presidential election spike is the baseline for tracking growth in a social media platform??

sumeno|5 months ago

Last year in August they had 200k likers. Today it's 1.2MM.

Last year in August they had 150k posters. Today they have 650k.

Followers: 50k to 400k today

philistine|5 months ago

How does it compare to other social networks like Twitter? Can't compare because they don't offer granular data this detailed? That tells you something.

immibis|5 months ago

Last year in November, the co-president just banned a bunch of guys from X for not liking him.

tzs|5 months ago

All of them though look like they have been pretty level over the last 3 to 4 months.

rootusrootus|5 months ago

To be fair, also last year in November they had 850K likers, 500K posters, and 400K followers.

xdfgh1112|5 months ago

After the spike rose and fell, it continues to decline fairly quickly. I have no horse in this race but it looks sharp to me!