I zoomed out. It looks like this:
"Usage has absolutely declined from peak switching periods where inevitibly some users won't stick around, but that's to be expected"
That just isn't a "sharp decline" no matter how much you seem to want to repeat those words.
I agree that it’s not a sharp decline but zooming out, what I see is absolutely no organic growth at all in the past couple of years. All the increases have been sharp spikes that immediately fall off dramatically, followed by longer, slower periods of decline. It looks like nobody is switching to Bluesky except in a handful of viral events, during which a tonne of people try it out but don’t keep using it. There’s only one upward slope on these graphs, and that stopped in late 2023 – about the time Threads went fully global. These look like very unhealthy stats.
Those are Jaz’s daily unique action counts (flows) from the Bluesky firehose; they’re anchored to the Nov ’24 spike, so the ‘decline’ is post-surge reversion. Meanwhile the user stock kept rising (~39M).
A presidential election spike is the baseline for tracking growth in a social media platform??
How does it compare to other social networks like Twitter? Can't compare because they don't offer granular data this detailed? That tells you something.
JimDabell|5 months ago
tptacek|5 months ago
Last year in November they had around 1.3MM posters. Today, 0.65MM.
Followers: 3MM, to 0.4MM today.
SteveJS|5 months ago
A presidential election spike is the baseline for tracking growth in a social media platform??
sumeno|5 months ago
Last year in August they had 150k posters. Today they have 650k.
Followers: 50k to 400k today
philistine|5 months ago
immibis|5 months ago
tzs|5 months ago
rootusrootus|5 months ago
xdfgh1112|5 months ago