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bkandel | 5 months ago

From https://www.cochrane.org/evidence/CD004816_statins-primary-p...:

> Of 1000 people treated with a statin for five years, 18 would avoid a major CVD event which compares well with other treatments used for preventing cardiovascular disease. Taking statins did not increase the risk of serious adverse effects such as cancer. Statins are likely to be cost-effective in primary prevention.

discuss

order

timr|5 months ago

You should actually read the article. In particular:

> Fourteen trials recruited patients with specific conditions (raised lipids, diabetes, hypertension, microalbuminuria). All‐cause mortality was reduced by statins (OR 0.86, 95% CI 0.79 to 0.94); as was combined fatal and non‐fatal CVD RR 0.75 (95% CI 0.70 to 0.81), combined fatal and non‐fatal CHD events RR 0.73 (95% CI 0.67 to 0.80) and combined fatal and non‐fatal stroke (RR 0.78, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.89). Reduction of revascularisation rates (RR 0.62, 95% CI 0.54 to 0.72) was also seen.

So the evidence base is a collection of studies where most of the participants had at least one prior indicator of CVD or diabetes, and their outcome is a relatively weak benefit to all-cause mortality, CVD, CHD and stroke. For primary prevention, what you really want is a strong outcome in a study of people without any prior indication of disease [1].

I think the article posted by parent is exaggerating, but even the Cochrane review is pulling its punches here, saying specifically "cost-effective in primary prevention", instead of the stronger claim. Common jokes about putting statins in the water supply aside, there's not a ton of evidence for giving them to, say, otherwise healthy 20-somethings.

[1] Imagine the following, not-uncommon scenario: you have an otherwise healthy patient who is both pre-diabetic, as well as presenting with elevated cholesterol. Statins have a tendency to elevate blood glucose. So which risk do you choose?

The available evidence provides poor guidance.

bluGill|5 months ago

Careful. You are correct at what we want for primary prevent. However for primary prevention we need much larger sample sizes and thus data is much harder to get.

Lack of data doesn't mean the treatment won't work. There is plenty of reason to think statins work for primary prevention even though it hasn't been proved yet. For most the side effects are acceptable, and the cost is low. Thus for most it is worth trying as primary prevention even if we don't have data to show it works. Remember you are playing with your own life here, and the best evidence we have is on the side of stains for primary prevention - this may change in the future when we get data of course.

FollowingTheDao|5 months ago

It’s not that lowering cholesterol does not decrease heart disease, but the fundamental problem of heart disease is not cholesterol, it’s the inflammation.

Lowering cholesterol lowers the amount of oxidized cholesterol that is caused from inflammation. The fact is is that in inflammation is the fundamental disorder, not high cholesterol on its own.

KempyKolibri|5 months ago

Why do we see lower mortality in mendelian randomisation studies for individuals with SNPs that code for lower cholesterol, then?

guerby|5 months ago

Published 2013

malfist|5 months ago

The human body evolves on a much slower time scale than decades