I know first hand that this is not the case. At least in film/media.
- I've sold software to several mid-scale production firms. Folks that do everything from Netflix title sequence designs to pharmaceutical television ad spots. They're billing at less than a quarter of their previous rate and picking up more clients on account of AI. They're downsizing the folks that do not do VFX or editing.
- A neighbor of mine who is a filmmaker was laid off last week. If you've flown Delta, you've seen his in-flight videos. His former employer, who he has worked for for nearly a decade, is attracting clients that are hiring them for AI work. My neighbor was not attached to any of those efforts.
- Major ad firm WPP is laying people off. Some of this is the economic macro and decreased ad spend. Another of my neighbors works for them and they haven't had any major projects. She typically manages major F500 clients. They're not spending. Despite that, she says some of the inter-departmental woes are directly attributable to AI.
- I spoke with former members in SAG-AFTRA leadership (before Sean Astin came on board). They quit on account of AI. "The writing is on the wall", they said. Direct quote.
I seem to remember the latest tools for software developers were pushed in the business organisation by the developers - and eventually the folk at the top relented and accepted it.
When the reverse is happening, alarm bells should ring.
But hey, Im not against these CEOs destroying the culture within the firm and making their employees hate their guts, resulting in negative productivity gains.
The data on the article applies to IT related jobs disappearing for any reason on the same period. The only thing specific to AI is the pick of time, and the conclusions seem very robust from moving it some months around either way.
One specific stupid manager will absolutely replace people, but the overall dynamic isn't any more broken than it used to be.
It's not stupidity but corporate strategy. Up until a few years ago companies and executives used to get massive backlash for doing layoffs. Today they can say "we replaced workers with AI" and get rewarded with a stock price bump.
As a co-founder and dev at a bootstrapped company I’d say AI has and will slow developer hiring rate. We’re just more productive and on top of things more.
We’ve also reduced the hours we work per week. We care about getting things done not time behind a screen.
Sure AI can build cute POCs. Will it build scaled solutions, not this year. The amount of ignorance in this post is precisely why the industry is so rattled. Gen AI tools are great, they are not making people orders of magnitude more productive.
RachelF|5 months ago
echelon|5 months ago
- I've sold software to several mid-scale production firms. Folks that do everything from Netflix title sequence designs to pharmaceutical television ad spots. They're billing at less than a quarter of their previous rate and picking up more clients on account of AI. They're downsizing the folks that do not do VFX or editing.
- A neighbor of mine who is a filmmaker was laid off last week. If you've flown Delta, you've seen his in-flight videos. His former employer, who he has worked for for nearly a decade, is attracting clients that are hiring them for AI work. My neighbor was not attached to any of those efforts.
- Major ad firm WPP is laying people off. Some of this is the economic macro and decreased ad spend. Another of my neighbors works for them and they haven't had any major projects. She typically manages major F500 clients. They're not spending. Despite that, she says some of the inter-departmental woes are directly attributable to AI.
- I spoke with former members in SAG-AFTRA leadership (before Sean Astin came on board). They quit on account of AI. "The writing is on the wall", they said. Direct quote.
nextworddev|5 months ago
bitwize|5 months ago
rhetocj23|5 months ago
I seem to remember the latest tools for software developers were pushed in the business organisation by the developers - and eventually the folk at the top relented and accepted it.
When the reverse is happening, alarm bells should ring.
But hey, Im not against these CEOs destroying the culture within the firm and making their employees hate their guts, resulting in negative productivity gains.
bcrosby95|5 months ago
Holy shit does your average startup manager send emails like that?
askl|5 months ago
marcosdumay|5 months ago
One specific stupid manager will absolutely replace people, but the overall dynamic isn't any more broken than it used to be.
What, personally, I think it's very surprising.
paxys|5 months ago
gghffguhvc|5 months ago
We’ve also reduced the hours we work per week. We care about getting things done not time behind a screen.
notyourwork|5 months ago
unknown|5 months ago
[deleted]
wilg|5 months ago
Svoka|5 months ago
ares623|5 months ago