[returnInfinity]

ChatGpt has won. I talk to all teens living nearby and they all use chatgpt and not Google.

The teens, they don't know what is OpenAI, they don't know what is Gemini. They sure know what is ChatGPT.

[MountDoom]

All of these teens use Google Docs instead of OpenAI Docs, Google Meet instead of OpenAI Meet, Gmail instead of OpenAI Mail, etc.

I'm sure that far fewer people to go gemini.google.com than to chatgpt.com, but Google has LLMs seamlessly integrated in each of these products, and it's a part of people's workflows at school and at work.

For a while, I was convinced that OpenAI had won and that Google won't be able to recover, but this lack of vertical integration is becoming a liability. It's probably why OpenAI is trying to branch into weird stuff, like running a walled-garden TikTok clone.

Also keep in mind that unlike OpenAI, Google isn't under pressure to monetize AI products any time soon. They can keep subsidizing them until OpenAI runs out of other people's money. I'm not saying OpenAI has no path forward, but it's not all that clear-cut.

[famouswaffles]

>All of these teens use Google Docs instead of OpenAI Docs, Google Meet instead of OpenAI Meet, Gmail instead of OpenAI Mail, etc.

Billions of people use Meta apps and products. Meta AI is all over all those apps. Why is usage minuscule compared to ChatGPT or even Gemini ? Google has billions of users, many using devices operating their own OS, in which Gemini is now the default AI assistant, so why does ChatGPT usage still dwarf Gemini's ?

People need to understand that just because you have users of product x, that doesn't mean you can just swoop in and convert them to product y even if you stuff it in their faces. Yes it's better than starting from scratch but that's about it. In the consumer LLM space, Open AI have by far the biggest brand and these mega conglomerates need to beat that and not the other way around. AI features in Google mail is not going to make people stop using GPT anymore than Edge being bundled in Windows will made people stop using Chrome.

[hn_throwaway_99]

> All of these teens use Google Docs instead of OpenAI Docs, Google Meet instead of OpenAI Meet, Gmail instead of OpenAI Mail, etc.

Google Docs, Google Meet and Gmail provide a tiny fraction of Google's overall revenue. And they're hardly integrated in with Google's humongous money maker, search, in a way that matters (Gmail has ads but my guess is that its direct revenue is tiny compared to search - the bigger value is the personalization of ads that Google can do by knowing more about you).

> I'm sure that far fewer people to go gemini.google.com than to chatgpt.com, but Google has LLMs seamlessly integrated in each of these products, and it's a part of people's workflows at school and at work.

But the product isn't "LLMs", the product is really "where do people go to find information", because that is where the money to be made in ads is.

I definitely don't think that OpenAI "winning" means Google is going anywhere soon, but I do agree with the comments that OpenAI has a huge amount of advertising potential, and that for a lot of people, especially younger people, "ChatGPT" is how they think of gen AI, and it's there first go-to resource when they want to look something up online.

[andyferris]

I think the beneficiary is wrong here. Those teens will grow up to work for organizaitons using Azure AD, Windows, Office and OneDrive/SharePoint/Teams.

If any company is going to get the windfall of "AI provider by default" it is going to be Microsoft. Possibly powered by OpenAI models running on Azure.

Google could make a "better" (basically - more sublime) advertising platform but little to attract new users. Perhaps Android usage would rise - Apple _is_ behind on AI after all. On the other hand, users will either use the AI integrated into Excel, Word, PowerPoint, Teams, Edge and more, or else users' AI of choice (ChatGPT) will learn to as competently drive the Windows and Web UIs as Claude Code drives bash, giving a productive experience with your desktop (and cloud) apps.

Once you use _that_ tool, its now where you start asking questions, not google.com. I am constantly asking ChatGPT and Claude about things I might be purchasing, making comparisons, etc (amongst many other things I might possibly google). Microsoft has an existing interest in advertising, and OpenAI is currently exploring how best go about it. My bet isn't on Google right now.

[ineedasername]

>Google Docs instead of…

All of these teens use Microsoft Word instead of Google Word, Microsoft NetMeeting instead of Google NetMeeting, Microsoft Hotmail instead of Google Mail, etc.

I’m sure far fewer people go to MSN Search than to Google.com, but Microsoft has Windows integrated into all of these products, and it’s part of people’s workflows at school and at work.

[siva7]

Not really. Those teens use Microsoft products, not google ones because that's what schools provide

[asa400]

I'm not saying you're wrong, but people said the same thing about Yahoo, Excite, Lycos, etc. in 1999. Interesting times, then and now.

[nilsbunger]

I think the biggest risk to ChatGPT as a consumer brand is that they don’t own the device surface. Google / Microsoft / Apple could make great AI that’s infused in the OS / browser, eliminating the need to go to ChatGPT.