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yousif_123123 | 4 months ago

I think at least part of the 10% is if AMD stock reaches 600.

Not that I disagree that this looks weird. Why was that needed to be offered? Couldn't they just buy the AMD chips if they're good enough? Or Nvidia is it's better?

I also don't get why there commiting so much to the future, are they sure of the quality of the products and their demand that much?

discuss

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AlanYx|4 months ago

>Couldn't they just buy the AMD chips if they're good enough?

OpenAI would presumably need to raise money to buy the AMD chips.

The "genius" of this deal is that AMD is "giving away" 10% of the company (at $0.01/share) to OpenAI. Then OpenAI will presumably turn around and sell those shares (or borrow against them) to raise enough money to purchase the AMD GPUs.

Aurornis|4 months ago

> The "genius" of this deal is that AMD is "giving away" 10% of the company (at $0.01/share) to OpenAI.

There's no giving away of anything in the deal. The $0.01 per share price is only available if they purchase the GPUs.

It's more like one of those "free with purchase" deals where you're still paying for the product, but they throw in something to sweeten the deal.

They're not actually getting AMD shares at $0.01 each with no strings attached like many of the comments are assuming.

DebtDeflation|4 months ago

It's just round tripping with an extra step or two. AMD giving OpenAI money (via stock options) that they can use to buy AMD chips.

Pet_Ant|4 months ago

It seems to me that there is an aspect of marketing to this deal. Nvidia has the mindshare, so this would help legitimise AMD offerings. This is almost product placement/sponsorship for AMD.

Also, this would battle test AMD's platform and provide enhancements so it's also a beta-testing service.

rhetocj23|4 months ago

Financing made out of thin air. Hilarious

alberth|4 months ago

> allows OpenAI to buy 160 million shares at 1 cents a share.

> I think at least part of the 10% is if AMD stock reaches 600.

AMD market cap today is $350B (at $200/share).

AMD would need to 3x their market cap ($1,000B) to be at $600/share.

Which would mean that OpenAI could gain $100B in AMD stock, for the minuscule cost of only $1.6 million (160 million shares at 1 cent each).

--

Sam is spinning the world on his finger tip with these deals he's crafting.

lucianbr|4 months ago

What is AMD getting that's worth giving OpenAI $100B? Sure, they're giving it from other stockholders not from their pocket, but still. It's presumably a lot of value, there has to be a good reason, no?

Is it that Sam promises to somehow make AMD increase their market cap, or help at least?

SirMaster|4 months ago

Is there any real reason AMDs market cap can't be close to what Nvidia's is? Or like even half of what Nvidia's is?

lacker|4 months ago

> Sam is spinning the world on his finger tip with these deals he's crafting.

That was my reaction too, this sort of weird deal seems very Sam Altman style.

Like Elon Musk - ironically, the archenemies are very stylistically similar.

N70Phone|4 months ago

> I also don't get why there commiting so much to the future, are they sure of the quality of the products and their demand that much?

It's one big game of musical chairs, and everyone can hear the phonograph slowing down.

OpenAI is making these desperation plays because they've ran out of hype. GPT-5 "bombed", the wider public doesn't believe AI is going to keep getting exponentially better anymore. They're out of options to generate new hype beyond spewing ever larger numbers into the news cycle.

AMD is making this desperation play because soon, once the AI bubble pops, there'll be a flood of cheap unused GPUs & GPU compute. Nobody's going to be buying their new cards when you can get Nvidia's prior gen for pennies on the dollar.

programjames|4 months ago

I find it funny how people say GPT-5 "bombed". I noticed a significant improvement in maths and coding with GPT-5. To quantify were I've found the models useful:

- GPT 3.5: Good for finding reference terms. I could not trust anything it said, but it could help me find some general terms in fields I was unfamiliar with.

- GPT 4: Good for cached, obscure knowledge. I generally could trust the stuff it said to be true, but none of its logic or conclusions.

- GPT 4.5: Good for reference proofs/code. I cannot trust its proofs or code, but I can get a decent outline for writing my own.

- GPT 5: Good for directed thinking. I cannot trust it to come up with the best solution on its own, but if I tell it what I'm working on, it's pretty decent at using all the tricks in its repertoire (across many fields) to get me a correct solution. I can trust its proofs or code to be about as correct as my own. My main issues are I cannot trust it to point out confusion or ask me, "is this actually the problem we should be solving here?" My guess is this is mostly a byproduct of shallow human feedback, rather than an actual issue with intelligence (as it will often ask me at the end of spending a bunch of computation if I want to try something mildly different).

For me, GPT 5 is way more useful than the previous models, because I don't have a lot of paper-pushing problems I'm trying to solve. My guess is the wider public may disagree because it's hard to tell the difference between something better at the task than you, and something much better.

CyanLite2|4 months ago

On the flip side of it (and where most institutional investors are mentally) is that if OpenAI is to ever achieve AGI, it must invest nearly a trillion dollars towards that effort. We all know LLMs have their limitations, but next phase of AI growth is going to come from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, maybe even Microsoft, and not some stealth startup. E.g., Only Big Tech can get us to AGI due to sheer massive amounts of investments, not a traditional silicon valley garage startup looking for their Series A. So institutional investors have no choice but to continue to throw money into Big Tech hoping for the Big Payoff, rather than investing in VC funds like 10 years ago.

AMD did this deal because it's literally offering financing to them. OpenAI doesn't have access to capital markets like AMD does. So it's selling off shares of its own stock to finance the purchase of billions of dollars worth of GPUs. And the trick appears to be working since the stock is up 30% today, meaning it has paid for itself and then some.

zerosizedweasle|4 months ago

This is too top of the top to ignore. Everyone can see the scam now, it's a joke