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fasteo | 4 months ago

From the actual report[1]

>>> Despite persistent material uncertainty around the global macroeconomic outlook, risky asset valuations have increased and credit spreads have compressed. Measures of risk premia across many risky asset classes have tightened further since the last FPC meeting in June 2025. On a number of measures, equity market valuations appear stretched, particularly for technology companies focused on Artificial Intelligence (AI). This, when combined with increasing concentration within market indices, leaves equity markets particularly exposed should expectations around the impact of AI become less optimistic.

Actually, the quoted 'sudden correction' is not referring specifically to AI, but the market in general

[1] https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/financial-policy-committee-r...

discuss

order

NewJazz|4 months ago

Yes but I think they have noted ai/tech companies are particularly exposed/stretched despite second order effects likely to impact the whole market.

1vuio0pswjnm7|4 months ago

"Actually the quoted 'sudden correction' is not referring specifically to AI, but the market in general"

As I read that quote it states that valuations "particularly" for AI companies "appear stretched"

This suggests the "correction" will apply to those valuations in particular

The report later refers specifically to these so-called "technology" companies

"5: Equity market valuations had increased since Q2, to near all-time highs, partly driven by strong Q2 earnings of US _technology firms_. The price appreciation of the largest _technology firms_ this year had increased the concentration within US equity indices to record levels. The market share of the top 5 members of the S&P 500, at close to 30%, was higher than at any point in the past 50 years."

"6: Equity valuations appeared stretched, particularly in backward-looking metrics in the US. For example, the earnings yield implied by the Cyclically-Adjusted Price-to-Earnings (CAPE) ratio was close to the lowest level in 25 years - comparable to the peak of the dot com bubble. ... Some _technology companies_ were trading at valuation ratios which implied high future earnings growth, and concentrations within US equity indices meant that any _AI-led_ price adjustment would have a high level of pass-through into the returns for investors exposed to the aggregate index."

Given their "stretched" valuations according to this report, any "sudden correction" would apply to these so-called "technology" companies

Aside from the instances where the report refers to overvalued "tecchnology" companies particularly, the parent comment is correct that the report does not refer to "AI" specifically

Thus, ...

1vuio0pswjnm7|4 months ago

"The market is propped up by these companies for sure. It's propping up the New York Stock Exchange, other exchanges. And so if those companies were just all of a sudden dip, even a little bit, you'll see the effects, feel the effects of that in the stock market."

"You don't necessarily have to care about AI or the future of OpenAI or the future of Nvidia even, to care about this story because this has reached into so many other markets. The financial markets, equity markets, debt markets, real estate markets, because data centers are real places that need to be built. Also your energy bills might be higher if you live next to a data center., So this extends far beyond now at this point, the AI sector."

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-08/the-circu...

"A wave of deals and partnerships are escalating concerns that the trillion-dollar AI boom is being propped up by interconnected business transactions."

"Never before has so much money been spent so rapidly on a technology that, for all its potential, remains largely unproven as an avenue for profit-making."

"The recent wave of deals and partnerships involving the two are escalating concerns that an increasingly complex and interconnected web of business transactions is artificially propping up the trillion-dollar AI boom. At stake is virtually every corner of the economy, with the hype and buildout of AI infrastructure rippling across markets, from debt and equity to real estate and energy."

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2025-10-07/openai-s-...