[anotherhue]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geoffrey_Hinton

Awards: Rumelhart Prize (2001) Turing Award (2018) Dickson Prize (2021) Princess of Asturias Award (2022) Nobel Prize in Physics (2024)

[jimbo808]

I don't want to detract from his numerous accomplishments, but I feel that he has Nobel disease [1] when it comes to the topic of AGI/machine consciousness and the trajectory of AI progress. He isn't a neuroscientist, and there's really nobody alive who can confidently make the kinds of predictions he's making. It's frustrating to watch what are basically wild guesses, being presented as anything but that. Many people with comparable backgrounds, who are still active in the field at the cutting edge, have very different outlooks than he does.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nobel_disease

[hodgehog11]

And many people with comparable backgrounds have similar opinions to him, they just don't talk about it. Yes, his interviews to the general public have been more than a little alarmist. But if you listen to his longer talks, much of what he says is accurate, or at least generally agreed upon in the computer science community. He is taking those points to their logical extreme, and that extreme isn't particularly comforting.

At the moment I don't see any evidence, theoretical or empirical, to refute any of the more technical statements that he has been making (perhaps you can find some?). The same cannot be said for certain prominent members of the neuroscience community.