top | item 45633560

(no title)

pxeger1 | 4 months ago

> folks still win the lottery, and you’re more likely to get struck by lightning than win the powerball jackpot

I'm more likely to get struck by lightning than win the lottery, sure. But it's much more likely that someone wins the lottery this week (~100% in fact) than that someone gets struck by lightning this week.

Edit: my point about independence of events still stands, but it turns out people get struck by lightning amazingly often. The chance of someone in the world getting struck by lightning this week seems to be about 99%!

discuss

order

010101010101|4 months ago

> it's much more likely that someone wins the lottery this week (~100% in fact) than that someone gets struck by lightning this week

No it isn’t? Not only are the individual odds of winning the lottery lower than the individual odds of being struck by lightning, but far more people are exposed to lightning on a weekly basis than participate in any given lottery.

BobaFloutist|4 months ago

You can buy more than one lottery ticket. You can't buy more than one per-person chance of getting struck by lightning over a period.

CaptainOfCoit|4 months ago

Lets reframe it: Someone always win the lottery, lighting doesn't always strike a human.