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> it's much more likely that someone wins the lottery this week (~100% in fact) than that someone gets struck by lightning this week

No it isn’t? Not only are the individual odds of winning the lottery lower than the individual odds of being struck by lightning, but far more people are exposed to lightning on a weekly basis than participate in any given lottery.

[BobaFloutist]

You can buy more than one lottery ticket. You can't buy more than one per-person chance of getting struck by lightning over a period.

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You can buy thousands of lottery tickets and it won't meaningfully impact your odds of winning though. You can also go stand outside in a field with a metal rod in your hand during a thunderstorm. "You" isn't really the point, it's the cumulative probabilities that matter. For lotteries this is easy to calculate, for lightning strikes the best you can do is probably looking at past statistics.

[CaptainOfCoit]

Lets reframe it: Someone always win the lottery, lighting doesn't always strike a human.

[010101010101]

That’s not true either though - someone eventually always wins the lottery, someone eventually always gets struck by lightning. The latter usually happens before the former.