[saltyoldman]

It definitely would more likely be a meteorite than anything else.

[SteveNuts]

What makes a meteorite more likely

[schoen]

Just that many more of them are present in the atmosphere than reentering space debris pieces.

[doodlebugging]

We are nearly at the peak of the annual Orionid meteor shower. [0] There should be a higher probability of encountering meteor debris during this period than during periods where there are no meteor showers in progress. We are passing through the debris from Halley's Comet right now and for about another two weeks.

[0]https://www.space.com/stargazing/meteor-showers/orionid-mete...