top | item 45648444 (no title) greenfish6 | 4 months ago The first example has a miscalculation; if you invest 1k and the EV is 900, then your choice has negative ROI, not positive. discuss order hn newest breischl|4 months ago He's calculating EV above cost. If you look at the calculation, the first term is -1000 to account for the initial investment. So the final value is tell you that you got back the initial money plus 900 more. neom|4 months ago However, the article is technically inconsistent in framing. unknown|4 months ago [deleted] quirino|4 months ago The calculation that arrives at 900 has already subtracted the 1000 from the start. unknown|4 months ago [deleted] postflopclarity|4 months ago it's correct. the EV is 900 after accounting for the 90% probability of -$1000. that's what the first term in the sum is for.
breischl|4 months ago He's calculating EV above cost. If you look at the calculation, the first term is -1000 to account for the initial investment. So the final value is tell you that you got back the initial money plus 900 more. neom|4 months ago However, the article is technically inconsistent in framing.
quirino|4 months ago The calculation that arrives at 900 has already subtracted the 1000 from the start.
postflopclarity|4 months ago it's correct. the EV is 900 after accounting for the 90% probability of -$1000. that's what the first term in the sum is for.
breischl|4 months ago
neom|4 months ago
unknown|4 months ago
[deleted]
quirino|4 months ago
unknown|4 months ago
[deleted]
postflopclarity|4 months ago