I read what you say, but I can hardly imagine how people can be twice as productive. I use Claude daily for writing various scripts. It produces a lot of code, so yes, if I measured it by generated code, then it's productive. However, it works best for short, clearly defined tasks/scripts. If you want anything longer, you have to watch it like a hawk so it doesn't go off track. And I'm not sure if I would give this code to someone else to use without a thorough review. I would say it may be even less productive (I think there was a paper on that).I also use LLMs for writing; it's good, but again, you need to carefully read everything and rewrite passages that are completely made up. So I'm not really sure how this can replace people, to the point that Amazon is firing 30,000 people. I have a hard time squaring it that it's because of AI.
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