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dig1 | 3 months ago

a16z is heavily long on AI, so this article sounds very biased.

From the article: If you live in the United States today, and you accidentally knock a hole in your wall, it’s probably cheaper to buy a flatscreen TV and stick it in front of the hole, compared to hiring a handyman to fix your drywall.

Probably because the US has been focused on services for years rather than physical goods production. Everything else in US is focused on importing cheap(er) goods or materials.

> On the other hand, I think he wants to push the narrative that AI is seeing enormous productivity gains.

That is my impression as well. I would be thrilled to see this mythical 10x productivity. Even with 2x productivity, I would be highly pleased. This should mean developers (and everyone else) are producing 2x more quality, software (and general services) are 2x better? I see none of that, except 2x more junk. Did AWS, GCP, or anything else become 2x cheaper and 2x more stable? Maybe I'm living under a rock.

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pinkmuffinere|3 months ago

Also the initial claim is just false — “if you live in the United States today, and you accidentally knock a hole in your wall, it’s probably cheaper to buy a flatscreen TV and stick it in front of the hole, compared to hiring a handyman to fix your drywall“. I can tell you that this isn’t true in San Diego. Unless they’re using flatscreen tvs that cost less than $300? Or perhaps making extremely difficult-to-patch holes somehow

dijit|3 months ago

This is true in pretty much every western country sadly.

TV's are really absurdly cheap (and awful) on the low end, we're not talking about your 60" LG OLED with AI TV here, we're talking: a screen with maybe 720p and a viewing angle of: dead centre.

Hiring a handyman is, what, $100/h in most countries, then there's a minimum call-out fee and materials cost- worse "I don't have the part". You're looking at about $300~ easy.

But for $129 you can get this; https://a.co/d/7cdztf8

nunez|3 months ago

> From the article: If you live in the United States today, and you accidentally knock a hole in your wall, it’s probably cheaper to buy a flatscreen TV and stick it in front of the hole, compared to hiring a handyman to fix your drywall.

This also isn't true?

It costs almost nothing to patch drywall. You can also do this yourself. Unless the point they're making is "TVs are so cheap, you can mount a TV inside of the drywall for less money than it would cost to fix," which also isn't true.

ceejayoz|3 months ago

If you have the stuff already.

I had to buy the sanding pole, the joint compound, the putty knife, and the paint the other day. A TV would definitely have been cheaper.

helsinki8|3 months ago

I was curious so I did a quick check.

I can buy a flat screen TV from Walmart for $74. A handyman to come to my house is a minimum of $150.

So the parent comment is true, buying a TV is cheaper than hiring a handyman to fix the drywall.

throwaway173738|3 months ago

Try hiring someone to do the job. You won’t get out for less than a few hundred.

danaris|3 months ago

"Some rich guy has been convinced to invest heavily in $NEWTECH, therefore any article voicing skepticism about $NEWTECH must be biased."

This does not follow. Being a wealthy and high-profile investor does not meant that Horowitz understands the technology.

It certainly does not mean that there are no valid criticisms of the technology.