[dinobones]

Here’s another idea:

We’ve had GPT2 since 2019, almost 6 years now. Even then, OpenAI was claiming it was too dangerous to release or whatever.

It’s been 6 years since the path started. We’ve gone from hundreds of thousands -> millions -> billions -> tens of billions -> now possibly trillions in infrastructure cost.

But the value created from it has not been proportional along the way. It’s lagging behind by a few orders of magnitude.

The biggest value add of AI is that it can now help software engineers write some greenfield code +40% faster, and help people save 30 seconds on a Google search -> reading a website.

This is valuable, but it’s not transformational.

The value returned has to be a lot higher than that to justify these astronomical infrastructure costs, and I think people are realizing that they’re not materializing and don’t see a path to them materializing.

[coliveira]

US Ai companies are fixated on low value activities, that's the problem. Creating more garbage for the internet or summarizing text is useful, but not that fantastic or transformative. I have a new version of MS Word where at the start screen it will suggest a bunch of BS topics that it can generate for me. What is the benefit of this other than the appearance that I'm doing real work? Most companies will be inundated by this nonsense created by people who are now 5 to 10 times more "productive" because they use Ai, and corporations will pretty much stop doing any real work.

[stackskipton]

This already becoming a problem at my company with Gemini. Certain paper pushers are using LLM to fluff up emails so more people have to use LLMs to read them with predictable hallucination on either side resulting in missed deadlines and customer service problems.

[BeFlatXIII]

> What is the benefit of this other than the appearance that I'm doing real work? Most companies will be inundated by this nonsense created by people who are now 5 to 10 times more "productive" because they use Ai, and corporations will pretty much stop doing any real work.

In the pre-AI days, how much of that 1x work was real in the first place?

[tonyedgecombe]

It seems exponential growth in spending only results in linear growth in capability.