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0x000xca0xfe | 3 months ago

Renewables are cheap but storage isn't.

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Retric|3 months ago

Storage is cheaper than peaking power which is why it’s common to add huge battery bank to solar power plants. It’s simply more profitable to add storage.

Net result renewables currently save you money until ~80% annual electricity supply. At which point adding more batteries and generation to cover overnight demand is cheaper than adding nuclear to the mix. In such a mix, Nuclear saves a little per kWh overnight and cost way more per kWh during the day, net result it’s more expensive as baseload. But, operating nuclear only at night drives up per kWh costs above storage.

Due to plant lifespans, new nuclear is already a poor investment which is why it’s rare, which then drives up construction costs. It’s a viscus cycle which ultimately dooms nuclear without massive subsidies which become hard to justify.

Closi|3 months ago

> Net result renewables currently save you money until ~80% annual electricity supply. At which point adding more batteries and generation to cover overnight demand is cheaper than adding nuclear to the mix.

Assume you mean more expensive than nuclear in the second point?

Agree with your point although it's about wind in the uk rather than solar, and about being able to last a few weeks if there is calm weather rather than a day without sun, which is when having a nuclear baseload makes sense.

epistasis|3 months ago

In 2025 storage is cheap too, it's just that there's no need for it until you already have a large amount of renewables.

2025 is the year that storage is really being deployed in a serious manner in the US, more than 18GW most likely:

https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=65964

You can see on the map at the bottom of this page that almost all the batteries are in areas that already have high amounts of renewables:

https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=64586

And the prevalence of batteries in Texas means that they must be cost effective, because all grid assets in Texas are from private investors risking their own capital, and there is zero incentive for batteries except for their profit generative capacity.

Closi|3 months ago

> You can see on the map at the bottom of this page that almost all the batteries are in areas that already have high amounts of renewables:

It could be - but the battery investments map also align with the map below which shows that these states (Texas & California) are also states suffering from blackouts.

https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/power-outag...

So while this could mean that storage is cheap, it could also mean 'Texas's mix and grid is unstable, particularly as it's not connected to the national grid, and this has opened the opportunity to profit from higher levels battery arbitrage that doesn't exist in a better balanced grid'

detritus|3 months ago

...just quite yet.