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fghorow | 3 months ago

'Once in 300 years'???

While the functional form of the statistical distributions themselves might still be valid, certainly the old parameters are no longer so.

discuss

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1718627440|3 months ago

That is a severity scale using anecdotal past events. It isn't intended to be a sound statistical claim.

adammarples|3 months ago

It's not even that, it's just the heaviest rainfall recorded in 300 years

j16sdiz|3 months ago

Nobody knows the future. Most of the time we just use historical data directly, or project linearly.

These kind of headline is very misleading. Need better way to communicate these.