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KumaBear | 2 months ago

Why does it matter? Government learned during covid they can spend there way out of a crash.

discuss

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79a6ed87|2 months ago

But since then the other countries learned that the US government could weaponize their USD holdings if they don't align. Central banks started accumulating gold to counter this.

Also, debt market is not the same as it was 5 years ago, Japan now has inflation (and they hold the biggest bag of US debt).

To add to this, USD lost 10% of its value this 2025 according to the DXY index. To be fair, it pretty much went to what it was worth before 2022, but the Fed has to be careful anyway.

Many things happened since 2020. It's almost 2026.

IAmBroom|2 months ago

Wow, you weren't kidding. My impression of the market is outdated!

Japan is facing real inflation in the last 3 years, at rates not seen since the 1990s. https://www.statista.com/statistics/270095/inflation-rate-in...

However, it only owns 3% of US debt; they are the largest non-US holder, but still a marginal holder. Basically, they deseated China for that spot of "Biggest But Still Small US 'Lender'". Both together are dwarfed by pensions, 401ks, and other US buyers and institutions. https://www.visualcapitalist.com/charted-heres-who-owns-u-s-...

KumaBear|2 months ago

Oh I agree with you. But my point was it won’t stop them from trying damned the consequences.

IAmBroom|2 months ago

Stay in school. When the history prof gets to the Great Depression, pay attention.

tharmas|2 months ago

Private debt caused the Great Depression.