[amirhirsch]

The effect of these tools is people losing their software jobs (down 35% since 2020). Unemployed devs aren’t clamoring to go use AI on OSS.

[majewsky]

Wasn't most of that caused by that one change in 2022 to how R&D expenses are depreciated, thus making R&D expenses (like retaining dev staff) less financially attractive?

Context: This news story https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44180533

[Bombthecat]

Yes! Even though it's only a tax rule for USA, it somehow applied for the whole world! Thats how mighty the US is!

Or could it be, after the growth and build, we are in maintenance mode and we need less people?

Just food for thought

[amirhirsch]

Probably also end of ZIRP and some “AI washing” to give the illusion of progress

[KetoManx64]

Same thing happened to farmers during the industrial revolution, same thing happened to horse drawn carriage drivers, same thing happened to accountants when Excel came along, mathmaticins, and on and on the list goes. Just part of human peogress.

[agumonkey]

I keep asking chatgpt when will LLM reach 95% software creation automation, answer is ten years.

[Bombthecat]

I don't think that long, but yeah, I give it five years.

Two years and 3/4 will be not needed anymore