[coffeecoders]

My prediction: 2026 looks normal.

AI stays the top story but in a boring way as novelty wears off and models get cheaper and faster (maybe even more embedded). No AGI moment. LLMs start feeling like databases or cloud compute.

No SpaceX or OpenAI IPO moment. Capital markets quietly reward the boring winners instead. S&P 500 grinds out another double digit year, mostly because earnings keep up and alternatives still look worse. Tech discourse stays apocalyptic, but balance sheets don't.

If you mute politics and social media noise, 2026 probably looks like one of those years that we later remember as "stable" in retrospect.

Bonus: Bitcoin sees both 50k and 150k.

[hamburgererror]

> If you mute politics and social media noise, 2026 probably looks like one of those years that we later remember as "stable" in retrospect.

I love this, we focus way too much on the apparent chaos of daily life. Any news seems like a big wave that announces something bigger and we spend our time (especially here!) imagining the tsunami to come. Then later, we realize that most events are just unimportant to the point we forgot about them.

[yellowcake0]

I'm not sure OpenAI can realistically afford not to IPO given its spending commitments.

[johnwheeler]

To me, this is wishful thinking. The more I see these "our jobs are safe" claims, the more I fear our jobs are not safe, and people are just trying to convince themselves which is an indicator of turmoil ahead.

[DANmode]

Who is “our”?

[jondwillis]

So, 2025 again, gotcha.

[DANmode]

You’re better than most at tuning out geopolitical news if you found this year stable.

[nitwit005]

Predicting things won't change is typically the safe bet.