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jamblewamble | 2 months ago

It is what has underpinned all of human progress towards automation. It isn't a bad thing. Every time we automate something the luddites cry out about the coming mass unemployment. It has never happened.

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coldtea|2 months ago

>Every time we automate something the luddites cry out about the coming mass unemployment. It has never happened

It has happened each and every time, it just haven't affected you personally. Starting of course with the original luddites - they didn't complain out of some philosophical opposition to automation.

Each time in changes like this a huge number of people lost their jobs and took big hits in their quality of life. The "new jobs", when they arrive, arrive for others.

This includes the post 1990s switch to service and digital economies and outsourcing, which obliterated countless factory towns in the US - and those people didn't magically turn to coders and creatives. At best they took unemployment, big decreases in job prospects, shitty "gig" economy jobs, or, well, worse, including alcohol and opiods.

With AI it's even worse, since it has the capacity to replace jobs without adding new ones, or a tiny handful at a hugely smaller rate.

tim333|2 months ago

Strictly speaking outsourcing to cheap labour isn't automation.

array_key_first|2 months ago

It literally happens every single time - people DO lose jobs. They might get new jobs, but they definitely lose their old ones.

And not everyone gets new jobs, because usually the new job is fundamentally different and might not be compatible with the person or their original desire out of their employment.

stavros|2 months ago

The problem isn't so much automation, but that the benefits of automation are invariably reaped by a few tech CEOs. It's not society in general that benefits, it's that the rich get richer, and the rest of us barely scrape by. If wealth were evenly distributed, nobody would bat an eyelid at AI.

AI is not the problem. Late-stage capitalism and wealth disparity is.

pchangr|2 months ago

It has happened. There is a related term we use which is related to a historical fact .. see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Luddite

loeg|2 months ago

GP is saying mass unemployment caused by technology hasn't happened, not that the Luddites weren't a real historical group.

malnourish|2 months ago

What other automations have been hyped to automate and replace so many different types of jobs at once?

Whether or not it comes to fruition, it's making large portions of society feel uneasy, and not just programmers, or artists, or teachers.

pchangr|2 months ago

The steam engine, for example

JeremyNT|2 months ago

The promise is to automate the drudge work, freeing people to pursue their passions.

Like, you know... creating art.

wombatpm|2 months ago

But most work IS drudge work and the automation causes new different drudgery. Use to be you could dictate a letter and someone from the typing pool would clean it up, proof it, and send it. Now those same people get to write their own crappy email themselves

coldtea|2 months ago

Art will be created like AI - like it already got its hands on graphic design, and game art, and vfx, and music.

It will leave not-yet-automatable grudge work to people instead.

tekne|2 months ago

I mean...

There's the concept, and then there's the painting.

AI slop from a generic prompt is not the same as "using AI to get my concept in physical form faster."

Imagine, for example, a one-man animated movie. But, like, with a huge amount of work put into good, artistic, key-frames; what would previously have been a manga. That's possible, soon, and I think that's huge and actual art.

vlovich123|2 months ago

Except all the manufacturing jobs got shipped overseas and now those people are Walmart greeters or similar unskilled labor. Having a shit job isn’t unemployment but it’s not a huge step up

loeg|2 months ago

That isn't what happened. American jobs are more productive than ever. Americans are richer than ever. The modern luddites dramatically underestimate how bad the past was.

throwaway613745|2 months ago

> Every time we automate something the luddites cry out about the coming mass unemployment. It has never happened.

It has happened every single time.