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mxschumacher | 2 months ago

there was a rush to buy electric cars in the US for as long as the $7500 incentive was in place, so the Q3 2025 number if inflated; it's a pull forward effect.

Sales have been flat for 3 years and the delivery numbers in Europe are catastrophic

on a fully diluted basis, the market cap is above $1.6tn, so at a PE of 20, they'd have to generate something like $80bn in profit per year - hard to do in an industry that is as brutally competitive and low margin as passenger cars.

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abirch|2 months ago

Not to mention China heavily subsidizing BYD.

_t9ow|2 months ago

It's a myth that China heavily subsidises its EV industry. See e.g. this Bloomberg article titled "China Can't Cut EV Subsidies It Isn't Paying": https://archive.ph/5olix

mxschumacher|2 months ago

there are around 140 EV companies in china competing very aggressively, they have excess capacity and are flooding the world market with cheap EVs, tough for Tesla to have a healthy margin in that environment

vkou|2 months ago

BYD's exports are not subsidized, and are, in fact, a massive cash cow for the firm.

They are also way cheaper and at comparable quality to western cars.

monero-xmr|2 months ago

It’s also Americans realized how inconvenient electric cars are. I take a fair amount of road trips. I don’t have the time to wait 30 minutes minimum to charge. And if there’s a line it’s even worse. And in the winter the heater reduces the distance a ton. It just isn’t practical

azinman2|2 months ago

I’ve found the charging to be a non issue. It’s basically timed with bathroom / food breaks.