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didibus | 2 months ago

> In the 1950s and early 1960s, Japanese households reveled in the chance to have washing machines, televisions, and refrigerators; in the following decade, it was cars, air conditioners, and color TVs. In the 2020s and 2030s, the next set of “sacred treasures” could be futuristic gadgets like electric cars, AI assistants, heat pumps, battery-powered appliances, or personal care robots. They could be simple things like bigger houses, cheaper elder care and child care, and more comfortable sofas. Or they could be something that hasn’t even been invented yet.

This next batch of "sacred treasures" really seems crappy in comparison to the previous batch.

I'm not sure I see how the "simple things" would come, since those have only gotten less accessible since the 50s even in countries like the US whose economy grew year over year and didn't stagnate.

So everything is really hindging on "not yet invented". I do think we're all hopeful for true AGI, full humanoid robots that can replace all home labor, fully self driving cars that are not constrained by terrain, weather, or location. And so on...

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