top | item 46459799

(no title)

type0 | 2 months ago

That's why I think Putin won't use nukes but would just load chemical weapons on drones to attack European cities and blame it on some terrorist organization. Trump might even support him in claiming that Russia is innocent and NATO shouldn't be involved. They already tested it on Poland with empty drones and said Russia didn't send any drones.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Russian_drone_incursion_i...

discuss

order

mmooss|1 month ago

> I think Putin won't use nukes

Any reasonable planning requires looking at the scenario your action creates - the range of outcomes. The range certainly includes Putin using nuclear weapons (which is part of Russia's military doctrine - see 'escalate to deescalate'). That needs to be part of your plan.

JumpCrisscross|1 month ago

> range certainly includes Putin using nuclear weapons (which is part of Russia's military doctrine - see 'escalate to deescalate'). That needs to be part of your plan

If we had acted decisively at the beginning of the Ukraine war, the risk of nuclear war would be lower today.

Appeasement can work. But it can also increase risks. In this case, giving into a bully invites escalation itself, which increases the chances of a fuckup (e.g. a misfired drone taking out an early-warning radar) which legitimately calls for nuclear escalation.

actionfromafar|2 months ago

Checks out. Trump would drool at the thought of cutting up not only Ukraine between him and Russia, but the rest of Europe too.

metadope|1 month ago

Trump drools anyway.