[why-o-why]

I've been hearing "Iran is weeks away from a nuke" since the 1980's.

It's almost like that dude who keeps saying, "FSD in my EVs is just months away."

[roughly]

That’s correct. The point is that until now Iran has intentionally not built a nuke - they’ve kept themselves within range to make it a credible threat, but they’ve not completed the project because so far the tacit agreement has been that if they don’t build a nuke, the US doesn’t let the Israelis bomb Tehran.