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Wheat Prices Help Predict Baseball Averages

3 points| Brosper | 1 month ago |codesota.com

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Brosper|1 month ago

Here's an absurd claim: If you want to estimate a baseball player's true batting average, you should look at wheat prices.

Not metaphorically. Not as a sanity check. Actually use them in your calculation. Your estimate will be more accurate.

This isn't a trick. It's called Stein's Paradox, and it broke statistics in 1956. The proof is airtight. The math is correct. And yet it feels deeply, fundamentally wrong.