[alach11]

I have to imagine governments are closely monitoring prediction markets as part of their intelligence apparatus. But then you just add another layer of subterfuge. Imagine a D-Day prediction market... "Will the Allies Land in Normandy, Pas-de-Calais, or somewhere else?" The US might buy a major position on Pas-de-Calais the night before as a decoy!

[tehjoker]

These prediction markets were proposed by DARPA iirc

[dmbche]

https://www.cia.gov/resources/csi/static/Prediction-Markets-...

[wslh]

I imagine how few incumbents can take advantage of prediction markets.