[dgrin91]

The first graph makes no sense? Why are the initial actual and expected values so far apart? Shouldn't they start at the same point?

[0xdde]

They don't describe the graphic very well in the article, but they do link to the source data [1]. The "Expected" line seems to refer to a historical average. Since the starting point of the graph coincides with the beginning of congestion pricing, we would expect a difference between the two values at that point.

[1] https://metrics.mta.info/?cbdtp/vehiclereductions