[obirunda]

The claim that users who don't adopt AI now will pay for it later or some other notion is a contradiction of their position. People who are bullish on AI should support this view wholesale. Opus 4.5 is easier to use than GPT 3.5. It can actually code a full toy project one shot where you couldn't dream of it before. Opus 4.5 isn't perfect, so people have a lot of things they do for a competitive advantage. Though anything you think you're building with all the prompt alchemy and .md rules or whatever will be useless and futile on Opus 10, every "really good practice" is instantly absorbed by labs so when something great is in the wild everyone eventually benefits by the base .md or system prompts. So even if you feel like you have a competitive advantage right now, it will evaporate by either the labs improving their tools or become generally unnecessary in future versions of the models.

The goal of the labs is to continue these leaps will get even bigger with every generation. Unless you secretly believe that some portion of the craft will be left unexplored by the labs or the things that are still relatively borked now will not be worked on or fixed later is a silly notion to me. Future versions will be easier to prompt and the tools will do more of the heavy lifting of following up and re-rolling misinterpretations. I argue that a user sleeping through all of this is likely to use a future version better than someone who is obsessing with all their assumptions on how to coerce these models to work right now, current version hyper users will likely bring unnecessary baggage imo.

For now, even with Opus 4.5 the time horizon for delivering a full-stack project is not significantly different than before, it's still limited by how much you can push it. I'd argue that someone without understanding of how things work is unlikely to succeed in getting production-grade outcomes from these current versions. The point is, if you choose to learn more and get better in understanding and building things that work (with AI or otherwise) you'll be just fine to use the versions that have fully or mostly automated the entire process. Nobody will be left behind, only those who stop building altogether.