[tigrezno]

The next two years of software engineering will be the last two years of software engineering (probably).

[amelius]

I don't see the market flooded yet with software that was "so easy to build using LLMs".

Last year was, as it seems, just a normal year in terms of global software output.

[steve1977]

If anything, looking at for example what Microsoft has been releasing, it's been a year below average (in terms of quality).

[falloutx]

You are not looking at right places. Github repo counts have been high since 2020 because there are companies & individuals who run fork scripts. So AI cant match the numbers.

But on product hunt, the amount of projects is First week of Jan: 5000+, Entire Jan 2018: 4000 approx.

[theshrike79]

The software being written isn't coming to "the market". It's all internal development.

Look at smaller SaaS offerings and people selling tiny utility apps, those will go away slowly.

Why would I pay for something when I can make it for my own (or company internal) use in an afternoon?

[cmpxchg8b]

This is such a stupid argument. A very significant amount of code never makes it into the public sphere. None of the code I've written professionally in the last 26 years is publicly accessible, and if someone uses a product I've written they likely don't care if it was written with the aid of an LLM or not.

Not to mention agent capabilities at the end of last year were vastly different to those at the start of the year.

[izacus]

What are you willing to bet on that prediction? Your car? Your home?

Talk is cheap, let's see the money :D

[kubb]

Please don’t get my hopes up. Adaptable people like me will outcompete hard in the post-engineering world. Alas, I don’t believe it’s coming. The tech just doesn’t seem to have what it takes to do the job.

[falloutx]

Some related fields will be gone too. And the jobs which will remain will be impossible to get.