[kamens]

I agree with you trymas! I myself spent time cataloguing a number of his predictions that did not come true.

I am still asking a specific question: for the prediction of Trump's rise, did the critics downvoting me read his actual writing and arguments? It was not a single contrarian prediction. It was an extended, thoughtful, and informed perspective that has helped understand the world for the past 10 years.

[kamens]

Further, he didn't just make multiple contrarian predictions in the hope he'd be credited -- he had a way of making predictions in ways that could be interpreted multiple ways later.

I both (A) found this infuriating and (B) found his understanding of what Trump is to be deeply insightful.