[nsvd2]

If you haven't been paying attention to American politics, there are currently widespread protests due to a woman being shot by ICE last week. It looks like the current administration may be seeking violent unrest in the hopes of delaying elections.

[JumpCrisscross]

> looks like the current administration may be seeking violent unrest in the hopes of delaying elections

Civil war requires two militaries. Tiananmen Square wasn’t a civil war.

[0xEF]

Not wrong, but don't forget there are many militias with itchy trigger fingers all over the political spectrum here, though admittedly some parties have more affiliated with them than others. It's not a stretch to assume should fighting in the streets escalate beyond ICE shenanigans that larger armies would not quickly congeal from the pocket groups and individuals.

[lukan]

I believe there are plenty of weapons around in the US in general and the police and military is also not 100% behind Trump and MAGA.

[johncolanduoni]

But if there is a civil war, what were you going to be able to do with the USD anyway?

[falcor84]

Interesting - I found this quantitative historical study [0] showing that while a civil war does significantly increase the likelihood of inflation, only 36% of countries analyzed which had a civil war between 1975-1999 ended up in an inflationary crisis. And with the USD having such a strong foundation, I would expect the risk to be significantly lower.

[0] https://kjis.org/journal/view.html?uid=302&vmd=Full

[immibis]

Exchange it for something else before the war started?

[grosswait]

Or is it the financial backers of the protests that want a civil war?

[ActorNightly]

Your entire party is literally lizard people, so no argument you can make is valid.

[throwaway2037]

I love comments like this. You pop out of your (presumably New Zealand) prepper bomb shelter to get enough WiFi signal to make a post. I will bet against people like you all day long and make lots of money. How much are you willing to bet that there will be civil war in the US in 2026? Let's meet on PolyMarket!

[nsvd2]

You have a very unusual opinion of me!

[derektank]

There were large protests in the wake of a law enforcement officer killing someone in 2020 too. Notably, there was not a civil war, even though the Trump administration used the protests as cover for bad behavior then too

[PurpleRamen]

2020 was a single accidental case as the result of a poor system. Many people even from within the system on all levels agreed something went wrong and apologized. Today's situation is different, as the whole system is weaponized on purpose from one specific layer/group against the other layers/groups of the system. It's an internal conflict within the system itself, and a prime-example for justifying a civil war. And at the time Trump was still on the leash of his own adminstration.

[GoblinSlayer]

1. ban guns

2. start civil war

3. ???

4. civil war with stone axes

[lazide]

There are more currently owned guns in circulation in the US than people.

One thing is for sure, any civil war in the us will not be short on guns.