[Q6T46nT668w6i3m]

On balance, there’s far more evidence to support the conclusion that language models have reached a plateau.

[FuckButtons]

I’m not sure I agree, it doesn’t feel like we’re getting super linear growth year over year, but Claude opus 4.5 is able to do useful work over meaningful timescales without supervision. Is the code perfect? No, but that was certainly not true of model generations a year or two ago.