[harvie]

At first it might seem that 6 is furthest to starting point and therefore it's quite likely it will be the last one reached. However whole process is chaotic enough, that once ladybug finally arrives to 4 and/or 8, the starting position has very little impact on overall outcome.

[jatari]

Well the starting position has no impact on the outcome. Each number other than the starting number has exactly 1/11 chance of being the last remaining number.