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pranavj | 1 month ago

Related: The 80% Problem: Why the Energy Transition Isn't What You Think - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46724535

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Zentrix|1 month ago

Hey, thank you for your post.

I noticed that you are missing an important part of the story, the argument for why the 80% might not be that hard. Here is a video from Simon Clark that explains it. [1]

Also, you seem to have used old data in your analysis. You need to look at/use data for 2025 because renewables are on an S-curve so the predictions for their growth are constantly underestimated.

Hope that helps.

[1] https://youtu.be/6c94vRmbM6Y?si=pPmvfJAGjHa2zOF1

baal80spam|1 month ago

Thanks a lot, this is eye-opening.