[aylmao]

> it might take 3 years instead of 6 months, and the shutdown period would be 1 year instead of 1 month

This matters much more than people (and evidently those within Google) realize

[embedding-shape]

It matters more the shorter your future planning is. Neither works if you're looking forward 3-4 years, for example.

[aylmao]

Why wouldn’t it work if you plan ahead 3-4 years?

Planning ahead doesn’t mean you never suffer from unexpected events, including depreciations. And long timelines help you as much as anyone else.