[rsanheim]

> But on the nuclear issue, it's not a good sign that he's explicitly saying that this AGI future is a threat to nuclear deterrence and the triad. Like, where do you go up from there? That's the highest level of alarm that any government can have. This isn't a boy crying wolf, it's the loudest klaxon you can possibly make.

This is not new. Anthropic has raised these concerns in their system cards for previous versions of Opus/Sonnet. Maybe in slightly more dryer terms, and buried in a 100+ page PDF, but they have raised the risk of either

a) a small group of bad actors w/ access to frontier models, technical know-how (both 'llm/ai how to bypass restrictions' and making and sourcing weapons) to turn that into dirty bombs / small nuclear devices and where to deploy them. b) the bigger, more scifi threat, of a fleet of agents going rogue, maybe on orders of a nation state, to do the same

I think option a is much more frightening and likely. option b makes for better scifi thrillers, and still could happen in 5-30ish(??) years.