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rainworld | 1 month ago

> Maybe WE can't imagine taking losses like this, but in Russia they seem more than willing.

WE are happily enabling Ukrainians to take such losses.

> seemingly carelessly.

They are doing what works—which evidently it does, however ugly and cynical it looks. And Ukrainians do the same when they try to recapture. This is the face of attritional warfare in the age of drones and under pervasive surveillance. But you’re probably right—WE could not sustain such for long. One hopes.

> now exceed sustainable recruitment and replacement rates,

That’s on even days. On odd days these people will tell you that the Russia army has been all but rebuilt and is about to invade the Baltics.

> Meanwhile, battlefield casualties favor Ukraine by a 2.5- or 2-to-1 ratio.

Russia is 4–5 times bigger. So, even if these numbers were true, they would be bad news. Same with materiel—just check Oryx. For extra credit, look at the trends of losses. Far from good enough and getting worse.

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